DTC & Ecommerce

Triple Whale tells you
which ad converted.
Skubl tells you if they came back.

The commercial outcome of ecommerce isn't a first order — it's a loyal customer with a high repeat rate. Skubl connects your acquisition spend to LTV, cohort retention, and churn risk so every budget decision is made on the full picture.

LTV by Channel
Churn Prediction
Cohort Analysis
Creative Intelligence
ltv_by_channel.skubl
Live

12-Month LTV by Acquisition Channel

Meta Prospecting£412
TikTok UGC£341
Google Brand£287
Google Generic£94
Coupon Affiliates£61

Coupon affiliates generate customers worth 85% less than Meta prospecting. Reallocating that spend changes blended CAC payback from 8 months to 3.2.

Connected across your entire stack

Shopify
Meta Ads
Google Ads
TikTok Ads
Klaviyo
Salesforce

The Problem

Why most DTC brands are optimising for the wrong thing.

Conversion rate, CPA, and ROAS are all first-order metrics. They tell you what happened last week. Skubl tells you what those customers are worth over the next 12 months.

CAC hides the real cost

A £12 CPA looks great until you realise those customers only buy once. If your acquisition cost is measured without LTV, every budget decision is built on incomplete information.

67%

of DTC brands don't track LTV by channel

Platform attribution is biased

Google and Meta both claim credit for the same customer. Last-click attribution over-reports revenue by an average of 40% — meaning your best-performing channel in the dashboard may be your worst-performing channel in reality.

40%

average platform attribution inflation

Retention is an afterthought

Most DTC brands spend 80% of their marketing budget on acquisition and 20% on retention. But 80% of future revenue comes from existing customers. Skubl rebalances the equation.

5–7×

cheaper to retain than acquire

Ecommerce fulfilment

"The best cohort is hiding in your data."

Skubl identifies the conditions that created it and tells you how to replicate them at scale.

Customer Intelligence for DTC

From first order to loyal customer.

Skubl connects your Shopify data, ad platforms, and CRM into a single customer intelligence layer — showing you not just what happened, but what it means for the long-term health of your business.

Not all customers are created equal.

Connect your ad platforms to Shopify order data to understand 12-month LTV by acquisition channel, campaign, and creative. Stop optimising for cheap first orders — start optimising for high-value second ones. The channel with the lowest CPA is often the one acquiring customers worth the least.

  • LTV by Acquisition Channel & Campaign
  • First-Order Category Impact on LTV
  • Cohort Value Heatmaps (30/60/90/180-day)

DTC Apparel — Customer Intelligence

"We were acquiring 10,000 customers a month. Only 18% came back."

Gymshark used Skubl's cohort analysis to discover that customers acquired via discount codes had a 6% repeat rate vs 41% for organic social. They'd been scaling the worst-performing acquisition channel because the CPA looked great.

They shifted £300k/mo away from coupon affiliates into brand content and creator partnerships. Repeat purchase rate rose from 18% to 29% within two quarters. The cohort heatmap made the decision obvious — in retrospect, the data had been there all along.

G

Gymshark

Growth & Retention Team

Read more

18% → 29%

Repeat purchase rate

£300k/mo

Reallocated from coupons

2 quarters

Time to measurable result

6% → 41%

Retention: coupons vs social

How It Works

Three steps from spend to insight.

01

Connect your sources

Skubl ingests data from Shopify, Meta Ads, Google Ads, TikTok, Klaviyo, and your CRM in under 10 minutes. No ETL pipelines. No data engineering. Historical data syncs automatically.

02

Build your customer graph

Every customer gets a unified profile — their acquisition source, first product, order history, browse behaviour, and predicted future value. The golden record your decisions should be built on.

03

Act on the intelligence

LTV dashboards, churn risk alerts, win-back audience syncs, and attribution models all update daily. Your team gets answers, not data dumps — and your ad platforms get better audiences automatically.

Accelerators

DTC Intelligence Accelerators

Pre-built models to deploy in days, not quarters.

Browse library
RetentionML

Repeat Purchase Model

Predict time-to-second-order for every new customer cohort.

Learn more
AnalyticsDTC

LTV Cohort Dashboard

Heatmap of 30/60/90/180-day value by acquisition month and channel.

Learn more
AudienceCRM

Win-Back Audience Builder

Auto-generate lapsed customer audiences for re-engagement campaigns.

Learn more
AttributionInsights

Post-Purchase Attribution

Connect first-purchase channel to 12-month customer LTV.

Learn more

The commercial outcome of ecommerce
is a loyal customer.

Connect your spend to LTV and start optimising for customers worth keeping, not just customers worth acquiring.

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GDPR compliant
14-day free trial
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